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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3? 65% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 64% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 64% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $721K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?64%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Game 2 Winner41%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Game 1 Winner32%
Match Winner32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Rampage23%
Any Player Rampage23%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: nigma galaxy vs boomboys (bo3) - the international playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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