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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Team Falcons 65% Draw 33% Xtreme Gaming 4% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $118K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team Falcons65%
Draw33%
Xtreme Gaming4%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 65% probability to dota 2: xtreme gaming vs team falcons (bo2) - esports world cup group a. This event refers to the Dota 2 best-of-two series between Xtreme Gaming and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 11 at 5:00AM ET. The series can end in exactly…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esport… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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