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Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $497K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Libertad Loja O/U 0.5100%
Libertad Loja O/U 1.5100%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador O/U 0.5100%
Libertad Loja 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Libertad Loja 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Libertad Loja (-1.5)0%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (-1.5)0%
Libertad Loja (-2.5)0%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Libertad Loja O/U 2.50%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador O/U 1.50%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador O/U 2.50%
Libertad Loja 1st Half O/U 1.50%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Libertad Loja 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Libertad and Universidad Católica met in LigaPro Primera A on 10 August at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne in Loja, and Polymarket prices this conditional-tokens contract at **0% YES** today, meaning the market is assigning no chance to the “More Markets” outcome as currently defined on-chain in USDC on Polygon. The settlement window runs to 2026-08-10T21:30:00Z, so the price is reflecting not the abstract fixture but the specific clause tied to this market.

For context, this pairing has been comparatively tight over recent meetings: head-to-head data from Footystats shows 9 matches with Libertad and Católica each winning 2, and 5 draws, with 10 goals apiece across those games.[18] Other match databases also point to low-margin outcomes, including a 1-1 draw in November 2025 and a 2-0 Libertad win in August 2026, which is the kind of mixed record that usually keeps “more markets” contracts sensitive to the exact settlement wording rather than to simple win/loss form.[13][16]

A trader watching this market would focus on whether the underlying match and any linked market condition have already been decided by the league feed that Polymarket relies on, because on-chain settlement only follows the specified oracle outcome. Pre-match listings placed the game at 21:30 UTC, and live match pages later recorded the result as a 2-0 Libertad win, so the key catalyst is whether the contract’s auxiliary market condition was ever triggered in the first place.[1][15][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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