York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

York City v Crawley Town is priced by Polymarket as a near-dead market today, with this **More Markets** contract showing **0% YES** even though the cup tie itself is due at the LNER Community Stadium and the settlement window closes shortly after kick-off. On Polymarket, users are not buying the match in abstraction but a USDC-settled conditional token on Polygon, so a 0% crowd-implied price usually means the named “more markets” outcome is either already viewed as effectively unavailable, or traders believe the resolution path is extremely unlikely given the contract terms.

Comparable York–Crawley data does not suggest a one-sided historical edge that would obviously justify an extreme price. The sides have played a small number of recent meetings: one source records Crawley with one win and one draw from the last two, while another broader head-to-head set shows four draws and one Crawley win across five listed fixtures; either way, the historical sample is thin and noisy rather than decisive.[2][5][7][13] Recent form is also mixed: York finished the spring with a run of league wins and a draw, while Crawley’s most recent league result in the supplied data was a 0-0 draw with Salford, which matters more for match-level pricing than for a separate “more markets” resolution.[1][6]

For traders, the main catalysts are not the scoreline but any late team-news, competition wording, or confirmation of what counts as a qualifying “more markets” event under the contract rules. Because the market settles only on the specified EFL Cup fixture, changes to the listed kick-off, abandoned-match procedures, or any official clarification around the preliminary-round structure would be the most relevant dependencies; Sky Sports and BBC both list the fixture as a Carabao Cup preliminary-round match at 7:30pm local time on 3 August 2026.[1][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.