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Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Feyenoord Rotterdam 100% Sparta Rotterdam 0% Draw 0% Volume: $287K Liquidity: $663K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Feyenoord Rotterdam100%
Sparta Rotterdam0%
Draw0%

Market context

Polymarket prices this contract at **0% YES** right now, which on-chain means the market is effectively saying there is no live conviction in a Sparta win condition before settlement closes at 10:15 UTC. The trade sits inside Polymarket’s usual USDC-on-Polygon setup, where the contract resolves through conditional tokens rather than the match itself being “traded” directly.

For context, the historical Rotterdam derby leans heavily Feyenoord’s way: one head-to-head source shows 20 Feyenoord wins, four Sparta wins and four draws across 28 meetings since 2005, while another records 23 Feyenoord wins and six Sparta wins across 33 matches. Recent meetings have still swung Feyenoord’s way more often than not, including a 3-0 home win in February 2025, although Sparta did beat Feyenoord 4-3 in January 2026, a reminder that derby variance can be sharper than the longer-run record suggests.[1][2][3][4]

A trader should watch team-sheet and availability news, because the price can move quickly if either side rotates heavily, carries injuries, or confirms a different goalkeeper or striker than expected. The market also depends on the fixture actually kicking off on schedule and being settled under the listed Eredivisie match context; Flashscore and similar live-score feeds currently list the game for 09/08/2026, so any late postponement, venue change, or official competition update would matter more than pre-match narrative.[16][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Feyenoord Rotterdam at 100% for "Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam".

Feyenoord Rotterdam 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $287K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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