Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam | 100% |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket prices this contract at **0% YES** right now, which on-chain means the market is effectively saying there is no live conviction in a Sparta win condition before settlement closes at 10:15 UTC. The trade sits inside Polymarket’s usual USDC-on-Polygon setup, where the contract resolves through conditional tokens rather than the match itself being “traded” directly.
For context, the historical Rotterdam derby leans heavily Feyenoord’s way: one head-to-head source shows 20 Feyenoord wins, four Sparta wins and four draws across 28 meetings since 2005, while another records 23 Feyenoord wins and six Sparta wins across 33 matches. Recent meetings have still swung Feyenoord’s way more often than not, including a 3-0 home win in February 2025, although Sparta did beat Feyenoord 4-3 in January 2026, a reminder that derby variance can be sharper than the longer-run record suggests.[1][2][3][4]
A trader should watch team-sheet and availability news, because the price can move quickly if either side rotates heavily, carries injuries, or confirms a different goalkeeper or striker than expected. The market also depends on the fixture actually kicking off on schedule and being settled under the listed Eredivisie match context; Flashscore and similar live-score feeds currently list the game for 09/08/2026, so any late postponement, venue change, or official competition update would matter more than pre-match narrative.[16][17]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $287K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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