Argentina vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Argentina and Switzerland will face off in a FIFA World Cup quarter-final on 11 July 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, with the market resolving strictly on the 90-minute score, excluding extra time and shoot-outs. On Polymarket, this contract currently trades at a 10% implied probability for the listed exact score, priced in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens that lock liquidity until settlement. The on-chain mechanics ensure transparent execution, with all trades settling automatically once the final whistle blows and the result is verified against the blockchain oracle.

Historically, tight World Cup encounters between these nations rarely produce high-scoring regulation outcomes. In their 2014 Round of 16 clash, Argentina won 1–0 after extra time, with no goals in the first 90 minutes[4]. Their head-to-head record shows Argentina averaging 1.8 goals per game while Switzerland averages just 0.5, with only one draw in five meetings[7]. Such low-scoring precedents frame the current 10% probability as a cautious bet on an exact score, given the teams’ defensive tendencies in knockout stages.

Traders should monitor official line-up announcements released 60 minutes before kickoff, as injury updates or tactical shifts could alter scoring dynamics. Recent reports confirm Switzerland advanced to the quarter-finals via a penalty shootout against Colombia, suggesting potential fatigue in their squad[2]. Argentina’s late surge against Egypt—scoring three goals from the 79th minute—hints at offensive resilience, but both teams have shown restraint in regulation during this tournament[1]. Watch for any pre-match press conferences from coaches on 10 July, which may reveal strategic adjustments affecting the exact score outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.