Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Côte d'Ivoire and Norway will meet in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 on Tuesday, 30 June at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, with kick-off at 12:00 local time (1:00 PM ET). On Polymarket, the contract for “More Markets” in this fixture currently prices at 10% YES, implying a low probability that additional betting markets will be opened for this match beyond the standard options.

Historically, Round of 32 matches between mid-tier European and African sides have rarely triggered expanded market offerings unless one team is a tournament favourite or the match carries high stakes for qualification. Norway, despite a strong squad, needed to beat France to win Group I and instead advanced via a lower bracket, while Côte d'Ivoire’s path has been similarly unglamorous. In comparable cases, such as Canada vs South Africa earlier in the knockout stage, no new markets were added despite Canada’s historic group-stage breakthrough[4].

Traders should monitor official announcements from FIFA and the host broadcaster regarding live betting integrations, as these often depend on real-time data feed availability and USDC liquidity on Polygon. A recent Sportsnet report confirmed the Round of 32 matchups but did not mention expanded market plans, suggesting the 10% price reflects uncertainty rather than a confirmed catalyst[4]. Conditional token settlements will only activate if the “More Markets” condition is met before the 2026-06-30T17:00:00Z deadline, with no further updates expected unless a broadcaster or betting operator confirms new market lines.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.