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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals 100% Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots 100% Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots 100% Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots 100% Volume: $518K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
Open live market →
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals100%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots100%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots100%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots100%
Malik Tillman: 1+ goals100%
Malik Tillman: 1+ shots100%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals + assists91%
Malik Tillman: 1+ goals + assists90%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots on target51%
Alejandro Zendejas: 5+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 1+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 2+ shots50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shots50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shots50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ shots on target50%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots on target50%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots on target50%
Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots on target50%
Gio Reyna: 1+ shots on target50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shots on target50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots on target50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots on target50%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots on target50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ shots50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shots50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ shots on target50%
Ricardo Pepi: 4+ shots on target50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ shots on target50%
Malik Tillman: 3+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 2+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 3+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 1+ shots on target50%
Malik Tillman: 2+ shots on target50%
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots50%
Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots50%
Weston McKennie: 1+ shots50%
Weston McKennie: 1+ shots on target50%
Edin Džeko: 2+ shots49%
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots48%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots34%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ shots10%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots10%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ shots10%
Brenden Aaronson: 4+ shots10%
Brenden Aaronson: 5+ shots10%
Gio Reyna: 3+ shots10%
Gio Reyna: 4+ shots10%
Gio Reyna: 5+ shots10%
Haji Wright: 1+ shots10%
Haji Wright: 2+ shots10%
Haji Wright: 3+ shots10%
Haji Wright: 4+ shots10%
Haji Wright: 5+ shots10%
Kerim Alajbegović: 5+ shots10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shots on target10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ shots on target10%
Gio Reyna: 2+ shots on target10%
Gio Reyna: 3+ shots on target10%
Haji Wright: 1+ shots on target10%
Haji Wright: 2+ shots on target10%
Haji Wright: 3+ shots on target10%
Haji Wright: 4+ shots on target10%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ shots on target10%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots on target10%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ shots on target10%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots on target10%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ shots on target10%
Christian Pulisic: 4+ shots on target10%
Tim Weah: 1+ shots on target10%
Tim Weah: 2+ shots on target10%
Haji Wright: 1+ goals10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ goals10%
Tim Weah: 2+ goals10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ shots10%
Ricardo Pepi: 4+ shots10%
Ricardo Pepi: 5+ shots10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ shots10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ shots10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 4+ shots10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 5+ shots10%
Tim Weah: 1+ shots10%
Tim Weah: 2+ shots10%
Tim Weah: 3+ shots10%
Tim Weah: 5+ shots10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ shots on target10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ shots on target10%
Chris Brady: 4+ saves10%
Chris Brady: 5+ saves10%
Martin Zlomislić: 2+ saves10%
Martin Zlomislić: 3+ saves10%
Martin Zlomislić: 4+ saves10%
Martin Zlomislić: 5+ saves10%
Christian Pulisic: 5+ shots10%
Christian Pulisic: 4+ shots10%
Weston McKennie: 3+ shots10%
Weston McKennie: 3+ shots on target10%
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals + assists10%
Gio Reyna: 1+ goals + assists10%
Gio Reyna: 2+ goals + assists10%
Gio Reyna: 3+ goals + assists10%
Haji Wright: 2+ goals + assists10%
Haji Wright: 3+ goals + assists10%
Malik Tillman: 2+ goals + assists10%
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals + assists10%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals + assists10%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals + assists10%
Ricardo Pepi: 4+ goals + assists10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ goals + assists10%
Tim Weah: 2+ goals + assists10%
Tim Weah: 3+ goals + assists10%
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals10%
Malik Tillman: 4+ shots10%
Malik Tillman: 5+ shots10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ assists10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ assists10%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ assists10%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ assists10%
Gio Reyna: 1+ assists10%
Gio Reyna: 2+ assists10%
Haji Wright: 1+ assists10%
Haji Wright: 2+ assists10%
Malik Tillman: 1+ assists10%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ assists10%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ assists10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ assists10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ assists10%
Tim Weah: 1+ assists10%
Tim Weah: 2+ assists10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ goals + assists10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ goals + assists10%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goals + assists10%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals + assists10%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals + assists10%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goals + assists10%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals + assists10%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals + assists10%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals + assists10%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals + assists10%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ goals10%
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots10%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots10%
Edin Džeko: 5+ shots10%
Edin Džeko: 2+ shots on target10%
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target10%
Weston McKennie: 4+ shots10%
Gio Reyna: 4+ shots on target10%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goals + assists10%
Haji Wright: 2+ goals9%
Gio Reyna: 2+ goals7%
Tim Weah: 1+ goals5%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ shots5%
Folarin Balogun: 5+ shots5%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ goals2%
Malik Tillman: 2+ goals2%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ shots1%
Gio Reyna: 3+ goals1%
Tim Weah: 3+ goals1%
Malik Tillman: 4+ goals + assists1%
Tim Weah: 4+ goals + assists1%
Alejandro Zendejas: 4+ goals + assists1%
Weston McKennie: 1+ assists1%
Alejandro Zendejas: 4+ shots0%
Chris Brady: 2+ saves0%
Tim Weah: 3+ shots on target0%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ goals0%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ goals0%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goals0%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals0%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals0%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goals0%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals0%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals0%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals0%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals0%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals0%
Gio Reyna: 1+ goals0%
Haji Wright: 3+ goals0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goals0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goals0%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals0%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goals0%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals0%
Tim Weah: 4+ shots0%
Chris Brady: 3+ saves0%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals0%
Edin Džeko: 2+ goals0%
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals0%
Weston McKennie: 5+ shots0%
Weston McKennie: 2+ assists0%
Weston McKennie: 2+ goals + assists0%
Weston McKennie: 3+ goals + assists0%
Gio Reyna: 4+ goals + assists0%
Haji Wright: 1+ goals + assists0%
Haji Wright: 4+ goals + assists0%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goals + assists0%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ goals + assists0%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ goals + assists0%
Sebastian Berhalter: 4+ goals + assists0%
Tim Weah: 1+ goals + assists0%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists0%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ assists0%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ assists0%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ assists0%
Malik Tillman: 2+ assists0%
Brenden Aaronson: 4+ goals + assists0%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals + assists0%
Christian Pulisic: 4+ goals + assists0%
Folarin Balogun: 4+ goals + assists0%
Edin Džeko: 3+ goals0%
Edin Džeko: 1+ assists0%
Edin Džeko: 2+ assists0%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals + assists0%
Edin Džeko: 2+ goals + assists0%
Edin Džeko: 3+ goals + assists0%
Edin Džeko: 4+ goals + assists0%
Weston McKennie: 2+ goals0%
Weston McKennie: 3+ goals0%
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots0%
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots on target0%
Weston McKennie: 4+ goals + assists0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ goals + assists0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ goals + assists0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ assists0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ assists0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goals + assists0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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