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Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 92% Lille OSC O/U 0.5 79% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 77% O/U 1.5 73% Volume: $179K Liquidity: $697K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.592%
Lille OSC O/U 0.579%
2nd Half O/U 0.577%
O/U 1.573%
1st Half O/U 0.568%
Toulouse FC O/U 0.567%
Lille OSC 2nd Half O/U 0.556%
Both Teams to Score53%
Lille OSC 1st Half O/U 0.548%
O/U 2.547%
Toulouse FC 2nd Half O/U 0.546%
Lille OSC O/U 1.544%
2nd Half O/U 1.543%
Toulouse FC 1st Half O/U 0.536%
1st Half O/U 1.530%
Toulouse FC O/U 1.530%
Toulouse FC 2nd Half (-1.5)29%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half27%
O/U 3.526%
Toulouse FC 2nd Half (-2.5)26%
Lille OSC (-1.5)22%
2nd Half O/U 2.519%
Lille OSC 2nd Half O/U 1.519%
Lille OSC 2nd Half (-1.5)19%
Lille OSC O/U 2.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
Lille OSC 1st Half O/U 1.516%
Toulouse FC 1st Half O/U 1.515%
O/U 4.512%
Lille OSC 1st Half (-1.5)12%
Toulouse FC 2nd Half O/U 1.511%
Toulouse FC (-1.5)10%
1st Half O/U 2.510%
Toulouse FC O/U 2.510%
Toulouse FC 1st Half (-1.5)10%
Lille OSC (-2.5)8%
Lille OSC 2nd Half (-2.5)6%
O/U 5.55%
Toulouse FC (-2.5)3%
Lille OSC 1st Half (-2.5)3%
Toulouse FC 1st Half (-2.5)3%

Market context

Market consensus: 92% chance of toulouse fc vs. lille osc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for September 3 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports