Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| CS Herediano | 0% |
| Puntarenas FC | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the **YES** side at **0%** for the CS Herediano vs Puntarenas FC contract, which implies the market is effectively treating a settlement to YES as extremely unlikely unless there is a late correction, reclassification, or reporting issue before the window closes. The underlying match is the Liga Promerica fixture scheduled for Thursday, 23 July 2026, so a trader is really holding a conditional token tied to what the market recognises as the final official result, funded and settled in USDC on Polygon.
That zero price is best read against prior Herediano-Puntarenas meetings, where Herediano has generally been the stronger side and outside models lean towards a home win or a low-scoring Herediano result. Independent football models have variously pointed to Herediano as favourite, with one projecting a 2-0 scoreline and another seeing Herediano 1-0, while a different model has argued for over 2.5 goals; that spread shows the match can be framed in different ways, but none of the cited previews suggest Puntarenas are a clear favourite. For Polymarket users, the key point is that a 0% YES price is not a view on football in the abstract; it is a view on the contract’s binary payoff and the market’s confidence that the eventual, recognised outcome will not settle in YES.
The main catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, late injuries, any schedule changes, and the official result source used for settlement. If there is a postponement, abandonment, or administrative change, the token can reprice sharply because the contract outcome depends on the final event classification rather than live match narrative. In practice, traders should watch for federation announcements, club communication, and any platform-level clarification on whether the match is played as scheduled and resolved as a standard Liga Promerica fixture.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $59K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade CS Herediano vs. Puntarenas FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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