Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to w100 templeton, ca: madison brengle vs mimi xu. This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Brengle and Mimi Xu in the W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu on PolyGram
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