Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang. This market refers to the tennis match between Yuki Mochizuki and Donghyun Hwang in the ITF Men Tianjin, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Mochi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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