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FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Both Teams to Score in First Half 100% Volume: $122K Liquidity: $264K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Mito Holly Hock O/U 0.5100%
FC Machida Zelvia O/U 0.5100%
FC Mito Holly Hock 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Machida Zelvia 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FC Mito Holly Hock 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
FC Machida Zelvia 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 2.522%
FC Mito Holly Hock O/U 2.520%
2nd Half O/U 0.517%
FC Machida Zelvia 2nd Half O/U 0.517%
FC Machida Zelvia O/U 1.516%
FC Mito Holly Hock O/U 1.58%
FC Mito Holly Hock 2nd Half O/U 0.58%
O/U 5.55%
FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)4%
FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)2%
O/U 3.52%
FC Machida Zelvia O/U 2.52%
O/U 4.51%
FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)0%
FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Mito Holly Hock 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FC Machida Zelvia 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 4% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-29T09:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

We track FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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