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Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol

Five-platform snapshot of "Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Kashiwa Reysol 56% Draw 24% Kyōto Sanga FC 21% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $54K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kashiwa Reysol56%
Draw24%
Kyōto Sanga FC21%

Market context

The Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol prediction market currently prices this outcome at 56% YES. This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 between Kyōto Sanga FC and Kashiwa Reysol.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Kashiwa Reysol at 56% for "Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol".

Kashiwa Reysol 56% Other 44%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $128K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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