Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 82% |
| Draw | 15% |
| FC Anyang | 3% |
Market context
FC Anyang’s meeting with Daejeon Hana Citizen is priced at **4% YES** on Polymarket, which means the market is assigning a very low chance that the contract resolves in the affirmative on the match outcome being queried. On Polymarket, that view is expressed on-chain with **USDC** collateral on **Polygon**, where traders buy and sell conditional tokens against the event settlement rather than wagering off-platform.
The historical frame is mixed, which helps explain why an ultra-low price is more about contract interpretation and late information than a clean football mismatch. Head-to-head data show a fairly even rivalry over time: FotMob lists Daejeon with 13 wins, Anyang with 9, and 13 draws, while FootyStats records 13 Daejeon wins, 9 Anyang wins, and 14 draws across 36 meetings.[2][19] Recent meetings have also been tight, including a 1-1 draw on 31 May 2025 and a 3-2 Anyang win in August 2025, while 365Scores notes both teams have been scoring in most of their recent matches and in 8 of the last 9 H2Hs.[13][1][8]
For traders, the main catalysts are the official team sheets, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the market’s specific resolution rules hinge on full-time result, abandonment, or fixture changes. Daejeon entered the match after a 2-0 home win over Gwangju, while Anyang had just lost 3-1 away to Ulsan HD, so pre-kickoff sentiment can still move if either side makes unexpected changes.[5][18] In a market settled by the match at the stated window, the practical watchlist is simple: confirmed line-ups, start-time adherence, and any last-minute K League or club announcements that alter who is actually on the pitch when the contract closes.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $74K.
Methodology
We track FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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