Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Anyang | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this K-League match at **0% YES** on the current crowd read, which means the contract is effectively trading as if a settlement in favour of the listed outcome is unreachable from here. The real-world event is Bucheon FC 1995 versus FC Anyang, and on Polymarket the practical question is whether the on-chain USDC position on Polygon can still be resolved into a YES outcome before the settlement window closes at 10:30 UTC, not just how the teams perform on the pitch.
The historical frame points away from Bucheon and towards a tighter, lower-scoring contest than the price suggests. Across 48 previous meetings, Anyang have won 20, Bucheon 13, and 15 have ended level, so the head-to-head record has historically favoured Anyang overall.[8][9] Market-side comparables also lean the same way: one live odds board has Anyang as the away favourite at 2.45, with Bucheon at 2.88 and the draw at 3.10, while another stats feed assigns Anyang a 48% win probability and a 29% draw chance.[4][5] That makes a 0% YES read on Polymarket especially stark rather than routine.
The key catalysts are straightforward: team news, confirmed line-ups, late schedule changes, and anything that affects whether the match is played and officially graded before settlement. Current fixture listings show the match scheduled for Wednesday, 22 July 2026, and at least one preview feed already has no separate predictions entered for it, which leaves the market more exposed to late information than to pre-match consensus.[2][3] For a Polymarket user, the relevant mechanics are the final oracle outcome and the contract’s conditional token resolution on Polygon; if the fixture is delayed, abandoned, or otherwise altered, settlement depends on how the event is officially recorded rather than on in-game scoreline sentiment alone.[2][3]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $168K.
Methodology
This page reviews Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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