Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Anyang (-1.5) | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC Anyang (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bucheon FC 1995 are playing FC Anyang in a K-League fixture, and Polymarket is pricing the **“More Markets”** contract at **0% YES** right now, which means traders are assigning no value to the listed outcome within the settlement window. On Polymarket, that price reflects demand for the conditional token settled in USDC on Polygon, so a zero print usually indicates either no liquidity, no conviction, or both rather than a claim that the underlying football event is impossible.
The historical frame is one of a fairly competitive pairing rather than a one-sided derby: one head-to-head database shows Anyang leading the series 20 wins to Bucheon’s 13, with 15 draws across 48 meetings.[3] That sort of record matters for “more markets” style contracts because traders often anchor on whether the match is likely to produce extra listed outcomes or market activity, and a 0% read leaves little implied room for that compared with a fixture that routinely generates volatile pre-match pricing. Flashscore’s live match listing confirms the game is on the calendar today, which also means the contract is close to its settlement point.[1]
The main catalysts for a trader are line-up confirmation, late team news, and any schedule or competition changes that could affect market eligibility before the 10:30 UTC settlement cutoff. The most relevant real-world signal would be official club or league announcements on squad availability, because in a short-window market the token price can re-rate quickly once confirmed information reaches the board; if no new information arrives, the current 0% tends to persist simply because there is no bid pressure.[1][2]
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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