Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ulsan HD FC | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| FC Anyang | 0% |
Market context
Ulsan HD FC versus FC Anyang is live on Polymarket as a **100% YES** contract, so the market is pricing the outcome as fully resolved in favour of settlement rather than as a live sporting contest. On Polymarket, that means traders are holding conditional tokens settled in USDC on Polygon, with the position already reflecting the belief that the contract’s definition has been met by the underlying K-League fixture outcome or the market’s resolution rules.
That reading sits against a modest body of comparable match context rather than a deep head-to-head sample. Recent previews have described Ulsan as the stronger side on paper, but also noted that the pair have produced tight, low-scoring meetings, including a 0-0 in one Ulsan home fixture and a 1-0 away win for FC Anyang in April 2026.[4][15] Other previews have highlighted Ulsan’s higher league position and stronger away record at that point, while also pointing to Anyang’s capacity to keep games narrow.[3][12] For a Polymarket user, the practical lesson is that football probabilities can move sharply on team-news and venue assumptions, but a 100% print usually means the market is no longer trading the match itself in the ordinary sense.
The main catalysts to watch are the official match status, any late administrative changes to kick-off or venue, and whether the market’s resolution source matches the competition’s final classification. One preview listed the fixture at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium with a 10:30 UTC kick-off on 2 August 2026, while older match pages show the clubs meeting in April at Anyang Stadium, which underlines how venue and date must be checked against the exact contract terms.[1][6] For on-chain traders, the relevant dependency is not just the scoreline but whether the event settles cleanly against the exchange’s data source, since conditional tokens only redeem once the oracle-style resolution process completes on Polygon.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $196K.
Methodology
This page reviews Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang on PolyGram
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