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RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 93% RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.5 82% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 77% O/U 1.5 73% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.593%
RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.582%
2nd Half O/U 0.577%
O/U 1.573%
1st Half O/U 0.568%
RC Celta de Vigo 2nd Half O/U 0.561%
Málaga CF O/U 0.560%
RC Celta de Vigo 1st Half O/U 0.553%
RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.550%
Málaga CF 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
RC Celta de Vigo 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Both Teams to Score49%
RC Celta de Vigo 2nd Half (-1.5)49%
Málaga CF 2nd Half (-1.5)48%
O/U 2.547%
Málaga CF 2nd Half O/U 0.544%
2nd Half O/U 1.542%
Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 0.532%
RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)31%
1st Half O/U 1.531%
Málaga CF 2nd Half O/U 1.528%
O/U 3.526%
RC Celta de Vigo 2nd Half O/U 1.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
RC Celta de Vigo O/U 2.523%
Málaga CF O/U 1.522%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18%
2nd Half O/U 2.518%
RC Celta de Vigo 1st Half O/U 1.517%
RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)13%
RC Celta de Vigo 1st Half (-1.5)12%
O/U 4.511%
1st Half O/U 2.510%
Málaga CF 1st Half (-2.5)10%
RC Celta de Vigo 1st Half (-2.5)8%
Málaga CF O/U 2.56%
Málaga CF (-1.5)5%
Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 1.55%
O/U 5.54%
Málaga CF 1st Half (-1.5)3%
Málaga CF (-2.5)1%

Market context

The RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 93% YES. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 13 at 8:00 AM ET.

Methodology

We track RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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