Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
49% | 51% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
49% | 51% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Charlotte FC | 49% |
| Draw | 26% |
| Atlas FC | 26% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing Charlotte FC vs Atlas FC at **49% YES** today, which is close to a coin flip on the contract’s conditional tokens settled in **USDC on Polygon** rather than a view on the abstract fixture. With the market window ending at 23:30 UTC, the live question for users is whether the match clears the settlement condition before expiry, so late team news and the final result matter more than pre-match narrative.
The 49% read sits between Charlotte’s stronger recent profile and the lack of any meaningful head-to-head history. Charlotte arrived with a 3-0 win over Pumas in its latest Leagues Cup match, and LeaguesCup.com lists Charlotte’s recent run at 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, while Atlas were coming off a 3-1 defeat at Columbus after a 0-2 home loss to Monterrey. The same preview noted this is the first matchup between the sides and that Atlas have scored in every Leagues Cup match in their history, which supports some respect for their upside even though recent form has been uneven.[12][1]
A trader watching the contract should track starting line-ups, goalkeeper availability, and any schedule dependencies around the Leagues Cup quarter-final path, because those factors can move a one-match market more than broader season form. LeaguesCup.com’s preview framed the game as one that could secure Charlotte a quarter-final place, so any late rotation, injury update, or confirmation of the knockout bracket has direct pricing relevance.[12] With Polymarket’s settlement depending on the official match outcome, the last on-chain price typically reflects whether users think Charlotte’s home edge and recent results outweigh Atlas’s ability to score in this competition.[12][1]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $84K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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