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Inter Miami CF vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Inter Miami CF vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $700K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Inter Miami CF vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5100%
CF Monterrey O/U 0.5100%
CF Monterrey O/U 1.5100%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Inter Miami CF (-1.5)0%
CF Monterrey (-1.5)0%
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)0%
CF Monterrey (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Inter Miami CF O/U 1.50%
Inter Miami CF O/U 2.50%
CF Monterrey O/U 2.50%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.50%
CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Inter Miami and CF Monterrey are set for a Leagues Cup meeting on 8 August at 8:00 PM ET, and Polymarket prices the wider “more markets” contract at just **7% YES**. On a Polymarket user’s screen, that means the market is paying up in USDC on Polygon for a relatively narrow set of conditional-token outcomes, with the contract only resolving if the listed extra-market condition is met by the settlement window on 9 August.

That low price sits against a recent baseline that has not shown much separation between the sides in comparable market snapshots. Polymarket’s match markets around this fixture have recently shown a tight contest rather than a one-sided profile, with the draw and both teams to score both attracting meaningful interest alongside the main result line.[1][4] At the same time, third-party pricing has often been more confident on goals and on Inter Miami than the crowd-implied 7% here, which suggests this contract is not simply a proxy for the match winner but for a more specific, less common settlement path.[3][13][15]

A trader should watch for official competition announcements, any late schedule or venue changes, and final team news, because the contract depends on how the “more markets” basket is defined and whether any linked market is voided or delayed. The practical trigger points are the same ones that move the underlying match markets: squad rotation, starting line-ups, and in-game score state, especially if the event goes to a shootout under Leagues Cup rules.[4][15] On Polymarket, those mechanics matter because the outcome is ultimately a on-chain conditional-token settlement in USDC, so late information can shift both the price and the probability of resolution before expiry.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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