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Real Salt Lake vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Real Salt Lake vs. FC Juárez - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Real Salt Lake (-1.5) 100% Real Salt Lake (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $171K Liquidity: $969K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Real Salt Lake vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Real Salt Lake (-1.5)100%
Real Salt Lake (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Real Salt Lake O/U 0.5100%
Real Salt Lake O/U 1.5100%
Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5100%
Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half1%
1st Half O/U 1.51%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 1.51%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 0.51%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
FC Juárez (-1.5)0%
FC Juárez (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
FC Juárez O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez O/U 1.50%
FC Juárez O/U 2.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Real Salt Lake will face FC Juárez in a Leagues Cup fixture on 11 August at 21:30 ET, with settlement occurring the following morning at 01:30 UTC. The market currently trades at 100% YES on Polygon, meaning conditional tokens reflecting additional betting opportunities around this match are priced as certain to materialise. This reflects the straightforward nature of the fixture—both clubs are confirmed participants in the Leagues Cup, a biennial tournament between MLS and Liga MX sides, and the scheduling infrastructure is locked in.

Historical precedent suggests that Leagues Cup fixtures rarely face cancellation once announced. The tournament has operated continuously since 2019 with minimal disruption, and both RSL and Juárez have stable operational status within their respective leagues. The only material risk to settlement would involve extraordinary circumstances—severe weather, security incidents, or league-wide suspensions—none of which currently affect either club's standing. Comparable markets for other Leagues Cup matches have similarly settled at or near certainty once fixture dates were confirmed.

Traders should monitor official MLS and Liga MX communications through early August for any squad availability issues or venue changes, though these would typically trigger rescheduling rather than cancellation. Team news regarding injuries to key players could influence underlying match outcomes but would not affect whether additional markets materialise. The settlement window closes just after the scheduled kick-off, so the conditional tokens themselves will resolve based on whether supplementary betting markets are actually offered by Polymarket during or immediately after the fixture.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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