Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
67% | 33% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
67% | 33% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 Games | 67% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 64% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 63% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 60% |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) | 59% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 59% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 52% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 47% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 47% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 44% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 43% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 43% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 41% |
| Game 4 Winner | 40% |
| Game 2 Winner | 35% |
| Game 3 Winner | 35% |
| Game 1 Winner | 34% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 31% |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) | 30% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 29% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Match Winner | 24% |
Market context
Market consensus: 67% chance of lol: anyone's legend vs bilibili gaming (bo5) - lpl playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. T…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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