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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 84% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 71% Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) 71% Volume: $86K Liquidity: $611K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner84%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner71%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)71%
Game 3 Winner70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Game 4 Winner62%
O/U 3.5 Games62%
First Blood in Game 3?55%
First Blood in Game 1?54%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?37%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
O/U 4.5 Games27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor15%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor12%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 84%. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Bilibili Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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