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LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Volume: $110K Liquidity: $760K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?63%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?43%
Game 2 Winner41%
Game 1 Winner40%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)39%
Match Winner34%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?32%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill8%

Market context

The LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 64% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the ma…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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