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LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% First Blood in Game 1? 74% First Blood in Game 2? 74% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 57% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $797K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
First Blood in Game 1?74%
First Blood in Game 2?74%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor57%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Game 1 Winner41%
Game 2 Winner41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Odd/Even Total Kills41%
Match Winner38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Any Player Quadra Kill34%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Any Player Penta Kill8%
Any Player Penta Kill8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to lol: edward gaming vs lgd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group A… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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