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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 62% Game 2 Winner 59% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 59% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 59% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $111K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner62%
Game 2 Winner59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Game 1 Winner57%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors40%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)36%
Any Player Quadra Kill17%
Any Player Quadra Kill17%
Any Player Penta Kill12%
Any Player Penta Kill12%

Market context

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group — current market-implied probability: 62%. This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports Challengers and HANJIN BRION Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group, initially scheduled for July 28 at 4:00AM…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION… on PolyGram

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