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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 3.5 Games 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Any Player Penta Kill 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $457K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Any Player Penta Kill62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?61%
Game 4 Winner59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Game 2 Winner50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 3?49%
Game 3 Winner48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)36%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor29%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+2.5)16%
Any Player Penta Kill13%

Market context

Market consensus: 73% chance of lol: ninjas in pyjamas vs jd gaming (bo5) - lpl playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Thi…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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