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LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 81% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 76% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 60% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 59% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $422K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon81%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon76%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?59%
Game 1 Winner54%
Game 2 Winner54%
Match Winner53%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)31%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

Market consensus: 81% chance of lol: top esports vs jd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Espo…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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