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LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 61% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 60% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $267K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?60%
Match Winner59%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner56%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Any Player Quadra Kill35%
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)32%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor32%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor32%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors29%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors29%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: team we vs lgd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend stands at 64% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tea…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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