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Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $181K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Club Tijuana O/U 0.5100%
Club Tijuana O/U 1.5100%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5100%
Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Club Tijuana (-1.5)0%
CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)0%
Club Tijuana (-2.5)0%
CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Club Tijuana O/U 2.50%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.50%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.50%
Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 1.50%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Club Tijuana will travel to Mexico City to face CF Cruz Azul on 16 August in a Liga MX regular-season fixture. The settlement window closes at 03:00 UTC on 17 August, giving traders roughly 26 hours after kickoff to assess outcomes. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, indicating the market has assigned negligible probability to the "more markets" condition—likely reflecting uncertainty about what additional betting options the platform will list for this specific match, or scepticism that supplementary markets will materialise before settlement.

Comparable Liga MX fixtures on Polymarket show conditional markets rarely achieve deep liquidity unless they're tied to high-profile derbies or title-deciding matches. Tijuana versus Cruz Azul, whilst both established clubs, typically generates moderate interest relative to Clásico Jalisciense or Superclásico fixtures. Historical settlement patterns suggest that "more markets" conditions depend heavily on platform discretion and user demand; markets for lesser-watched matchdays often see limited expansion beyond standard win/draw/loss and goal-total offerings.

Traders should monitor Polymarket's official announcements and social channels in the 48 hours before kickoff for any indication of market expansion. Liga MX scheduling occasionally shifts or attracts late promotional attention if injury news or standings implications emerge. The 0% pricing may reflect genuine scarcity of additional markets rather than predictive confidence, making this a contract where information asymmetry—not match outcome—drives settlement risk.

Methodology

This page reviews Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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