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Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels

Five-platform snapshot of "Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 67% Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels 59% O/U 6.5 57% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 52% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $969K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.567%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels59%
O/U 6.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.552%
Spread -1.545%
O/U 7.545%
NRFI40%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.539%
O/U 8.537%
Spread -2.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.528%
Spread -1.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.520%
Spread -2.517%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cleveland guardians vs. los angeles angels stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 25 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cle…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 67% for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 67% Other 33%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $114K.

Methodology

This page reviews Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports