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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 55% Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians 54% O/U 7.5 52% Volume: $201K Liquidity: $774K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.555%
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians54%
O/U 7.552%
NRFI45%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
O/U 8.544%
Spread -1.541%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.525%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.519%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.515%
Extra Innings6%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to texas rangers vs. cleveland guardians. In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This ma…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 70% for "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $201K.

Methodology

We track Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports