CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys Association 1–0 in their Peru Liga 1 Torneo Clausura opener on Sunday, 19 July 2026, at Estadio de Andahuaylas, with Jarlin Quintero scoring the solitary goal [2][4]. On Polymarket, this outcome is already priced at 100% YES, reflecting the match’s completed status and the on-chain settlement of conditional tokens in USDC on Polygon. The contract’s full resolution confirms the result is immutable, with no further price movement possible as the settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on the same day.

Historically, prediction markets for football matches that have already concluded settle instantly once official results are verified by league authorities, mirroring how similar Liga 1 contracts resolved in 2024 and 2025 after match-day confirmations [2]. A 100% probability in this context does not indicate market optimism but rather factual certainty: the event has occurred, and the outcome is recorded. Comparable cases show that once a match ends and the score is published by ESPN or the Peruvian Football Federation, Polymarket contracts lock immediately, eliminating arbitrage or speculative delay [1][2].

Traders should monitor only the official league confirmation and broadcast archives, as the result is already public via L1 Max and RPP.pe [4][5]. No new announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies remain; the match is finished, and the 1–0 scoreline is confirmed across multiple sources including FutbolPeruano and ElComercio [2][5]. The sole catalyst was the match itself, which has passed, leaving no unresolved variables for the market to price.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.