Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Rapid 1923 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Rapid 1923 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Rapid 1923 (-1.5) | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 (-2.5) | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Sepsi OSK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Rapid 1923 faces Sepsi OSK in a Romania SuperLiga match scheduled for 20 July at 14:30 local time, yet the Polymarket contract for “More Markets” on this fixture sits at 0% YES today. On Polygon, this conditional token trades in USDC with no open interest, reflecting a market consensus that the specific outcome tied to this contract is effectively impossible or the market itself is illiquid and unpriced by traders.
Historically, when these two sides met in August 2024, the game ended in a 2–2 draw, while a December 2024 encounter saw Sepsi win, and a recent July 2026 match concluded 1–0 to Rapid [1][3][5]. These results show no consistent pattern favouring a single outcome in “more markets” propositions, yet the current 0% price suggests either the specific condition is highly unlikely or the market has not attracted sufficient liquidity to reflect nuanced probabilities.
Traders should monitor official post-match reports from the Romanian Football Federation for any disqualifications, VAR overturns, or administrative rulings that could trigger settlement, as these are the only catalysts that would alter the outcome after the 18:30 UTC settlement window on 20 July [2][4]. Until such an announcement, the on-chain price will remain anchored at zero, with no USDC volume to indicate shifting sentiment.
Methodology
This page reviews FC Rapid 1923 vs. Sepsi OSK - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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