Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| FCSB | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this FCSB versus FCV Farul Constanţa contract at **0% YES**, so the market is effectively treating a YES resolution as closed off unless there is a fresh re-pricing before settlement. On Polymarket, the position is expressed through **USDC** on **Polygon**, with the event outcome represented by conditional tokens rather than a direct bet on the match itself.
The historical frame still matters because this is not an even fixture: FCSB have dominated the head-to-head over time, with far more wins than Farul in the published records, while recent meetings have often been competitive rather than one-sided. FBref lists the last few league meetings as 1–1, 3–2 to FCSB, and 1–2 to FCSB, while other head-to-head pages show FCSB well ahead overall across the series.[8][9][14] For a market sitting at 0%, that kind of record matters less as a predictive edge than as a reminder that the contract is already reflecting a strong assumption about the final settlement path, not just footballing strength.[1][8]
A trader would watch official team news, any postponement or venue change, and whether the fixture is confirmed exactly as scheduled for 3 August 2026, because those are the sorts of inputs that can matter more than past results when a market is already pinned near zero. Line-ups, late withdrawals, competition schedule changes, or an administrative rescheduling can all affect whether the contract’s settlement criteria are met, especially on a deadline that closes at 18:30 UTC.[12][13]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $105K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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