Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 93% |
| Atalanta BC O/U 0.5 | 82% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| Bologna FC 1909 O/U 0.5 | 66% |
| Atalanta BC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 60% |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 52% |
| Atalanta BC O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Bologna FC 1909 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Atalanta BC (-1.5) | 27% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 27% |
| Atalanta BC O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Atalanta BC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 20% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Atalanta BC (-2.5) | 11% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 11% |
| Bologna FC 1909 O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5) | 8% |
| Bologna FC 1909 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 8% |
| O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5) | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for August 31 at 2:45 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets on PolyGram
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