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SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907 - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907 - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 90% SSC Napoli O/U 0.5 72% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% O/U 1.5 69% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $582K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907 - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
SSC Napoli O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.569%
Como 1907 O/U 0.568%
1st Half O/U 0.565%
Both Teams to Score51%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Como 1907 2nd Half O/U 0.546%
O/U 2.543%
SSC Napoli 1st Half O/U 0.543%
Como 1907 1st Half O/U 0.539%
2nd Half O/U 1.538%
SSC Napoli O/U 1.535%
Como 1907 O/U 1.531%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
O/U 3.522%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18%
SSC Napoli (-1.5)16%
2nd Half O/U 2.515%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 1.515%
SSC Napoli O/U 2.513%
Como 1907 (-1.5)12%
Como 1907 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
SSC Napoli 1st Half O/U 1.511%
O/U 4.510%
Como 1907 O/U 2.510%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Como 1907 1st Half O/U 1.59%
SSC Napoli (-2.5)5%
Como 1907 (-2.5)3%
O/U 5.53%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ssc napoli vs. como 1907 - more markets stands at 90% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for August 30 at 12:30 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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