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Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 95% O/U 1.5 81% ACF Fiorentina O/U 0.5 81% Venezia FC O/U 0.5 78% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $487K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
O/U 1.581%
ACF Fiorentina O/U 0.581%
Venezia FC O/U 0.578%
2nd Half O/U 0.577%
1st Half O/U 0.574%
Both Teams to Score64%
O/U 2.559%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half O/U 0.554%
2nd Half O/U 1.552%
Venezia FC 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 0.551%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Venezia FC 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Venezia FC 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Venezia FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half48%
ACF Fiorentina O/U 1.547%
Venezia FC O/U 1.543%
1st Half O/U 1.539%
O/U 3.537%
2nd Half O/U 2.535%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half O/U 1.534%
Venezia FC 2nd Half O/U 1.533%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half (-2.5)33%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half (-1.5)26%
Both Teams to Score in First Half24%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half O/U 1.524%
Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 1.522%
O/U 4.519%
ACF Fiorentina O/U 2.519%
ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)18%
Venezia FC O/U 2.518%
Venezia FC (-1.5)16%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
O/U 5.59%
Venezia FC 1st Half (-1.5)9%
ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)7%
Venezia FC (-2.5)6%

Market context

Market consensus: 95% chance of venezia fc vs. acf fiorentina - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 11 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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