Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Sion | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| FC Vaduz | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this contract at **100% YES**, so the market is effectively treating FC Sion’s home meeting with FC Vaduz as a done deal on Polygon, with USDC-collateralised conditional tokens already implying no material room for dissent before settlement. For users watching the book rather than the pitch, that makes the key question less about match odds in the abstract and more about whether the final result is cleanly captured by the market’s resolution rules at the 14:30 UTC kick-off in Sion.[1]
The historical frame is mixed but leans towards competitive games rather than routine blow-outs. FC Sion beat Vaduz 2-1 in one recent meeting after a late turnaround, while other head-to-heads have finished 2-2 and 3-3, and the current listed record across recent comparison pages still shows Sion ahead overall but not overwhelmingly so.[2][3][5] That matters for a Polymarket user because even when one side is favoured on form, these contracts resolve on the final, official result, not on expected dominance, and the market can stay pinned if participants see the fixture as already functionally decided.[1][4]
The main catalysts to watch are straightforward: confirmed team sheets, any pre-match injury or suspension updates, and whether the fixture starts and finishes as scheduled at Tourbillon, since settlement depends on the official match outcome rather than live sentiment.[1][4] Current third-party match listings place Sion fifth and Vaduz tenth, which supports the lopsided pricing, but the only hard trigger for the conditional token payout is the recorded final score once the event closes.[1]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $123K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Sion vs. FC Vaduz on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →