Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| IFK Goteborg O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IFK Goteborg O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| IFK Goteborg 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IFK Goteborg 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IFK Goteborg (-1.5) | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5) | 0% |
| IFK Goteborg (-2.5) | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IFK Goteborg O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IFK Goteborg 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IFK Goteborg 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
IFK Göteborg faces IF Brommapojkarna at Gamla Ullevi this Friday for a crucial Allsvenskan fixture, with the Polymarket contract for “More Markets” currently priced at 0% YES. On-chain, this zero probability reflects a market consensus that the specific secondary condition tied to this contract is virtually impossible to settle as true, likely due to the match’s expected low volatility or a specific outcome threshold that historical data suggests will not be met. Traders using USDC on Polygon see conditional tokens for this market sitting at the floor, indicating no active liquidity betting against the settlement window closing on 17 July 2026.
Historically, this fixture has been dominated by IFK Göteborg, who have won eight of the last 13 meetings while scoring 22 goals compared to Brommapojkarna’s seven [4]. In their most recent encounter on 1 June 2025, IFK Göteborg secured a 3–1 victory, reinforcing their offensive superiority and defensive resilience against this opponent [3]. Such head-to-head dominance often suppresses volatility in secondary markets, as the primary outcome tends to be decisive rather than contested, making “more markets” conditions—like extra goals or specific scorelines—less probable to trigger.
Traders should monitor pre-match squad announcements and in-game momentum shifts, particularly IFK Göteborg’s attacking form and Brommapojkarna’s defensive setup, as these directly influence secondary outcome probabilities [5]. Any late injury news or tactical adjustments from either manager could alter the expected goal count, though current betting odds still favour a 2–1 IFK Göteborg win [5]. With the settlement window closing shortly after the match ends, on-chain liquidity will likely remain thin unless a catalyst emerges to challenge the 0% pricing.
Methodology
This page reviews IFK Goteborg vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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