Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Orgryte IS faces Djurgardens IF in an Allsvenskan fixture scheduled for Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 CET. On Polymarket today, the "More Markets" contract for this game trades at a 0% YES probability, reflecting a near-total consensus that the specific outcome covered by this market will not occur. The contract settles on-chain in USDC via Polygon, using conditional tokens that lock payouts strictly to the official match result once the settlement window closes on 20 July 2026.

Historical data from comparable Allsvenskan matchups shows Djurgardens IF as the dominant side, with pre-match models assigning them a 58% win probability against Orgryte IS, while Orgryte holds only 13% and the draw 29% [2]. This heavy lean toward Djurgardens explains the 0% pricing on markets that typically require an Orgryte win or a draw to trigger; such outcomes have been rare in recent seasons when these teams meet, making the current price a rational reflection of long-term form rather than an anomaly.

Traders should monitor official squad announcements and injury updates released by both clubs ahead of the 25 October fixture, as late changes to key players could shift the win probability significantly. While no specific news break has altered the odds yet, any unexpected drop in Djurgardens’ form or rise in Orgryte’s attacking efficiency would be the primary catalyst for a reprice [1]. The market remains static until new information emerges, with the on-chain mechanism ensuring transparent, automated settlement once the match concludes.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page reviews Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.