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AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 92% AEK O/U 0.5 85% Team to Advance 81% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 76% Volume: $110K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 26 Aug 2026
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AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.592%
AEK O/U 0.585%
Team to Advance81%
2nd Half O/U 0.576%
O/U 1.573%
1st Half O/U 0.568%
AEK 2nd Half O/U 0.565%
AEK 1st Half O/U 0.557%
AEK O/U 1.556%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.549%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.548%
O/U 2.547%
Both Teams to Score43%
2nd Half O/U 1.541%
AEK (-1.5)39%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.532%
1st Half O/U 1.531%
AEK O/U 2.528%
AEK 2nd Half O/U 1.527%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.526%
O/U 3.525%
AEK 1st Half O/U 1.520%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half20%
AEK (-2.5)18%
Both Teams to Score in First Half15%
2nd Half O/U 2.515%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.514%
O/U 4.511%
1st Half O/U 2.510%
O/U 5.54%
PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)3%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.53%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.53%
PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)1%

Market context

AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 39% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-26T19:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page reviews AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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