Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5) | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Floriana FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Floriana FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Floriana FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Floriana FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Floriana FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Floriana FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Floriana FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| Floriana FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Floriana FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The UEFA Champions League fixture between Shamrock Rovers FC and Floriana FC has already concluded, with Floriana securing a 2–0 victory on 7 July 2026, meaning the “More Markets” contract now reflects a settled outcome rather than a live prediction [1]. On Polymarket, this USDC-denominated contract on Polygon trades at 100% YES, mirroring the final result where conditional tokens have effectively locked in payout eligibility as the settlement window closes on 14 July 2026 [2].
Historically, similar post-match markets on Polymarket that reach 100% probability before the settlement deadline have consistently resolved YES, with no recorded reversals once match results are officially confirmed by UEFA or major data providers. This pattern holds across European football qualifiers where the underlying event is past and the outcome is unambiguous, making the current pricing a direct reflection of the completed 2–0 scoreline rather than speculative sentiment [1].
Traders should monitor the official UEFA match report and any late disciplinary updates that could theoretically alter match status, though such scenarios are rare once the final whistle blows and results are archived. No new announcements are expected given the game occurred seven days prior, and the settlement mechanism relies solely on the immutable on-chain record of the result, which aligns with the 2–0 outcome already recorded [2]. The contract’s resolution is now purely mechanical, dependent on the platform’s oracle confirming the archived result.
Methodology
This page reviews Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC - More Markets on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →