Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5) | 100% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the Albanian club, faces Shamrock Rovers FC of Ireland in a UEFA Europa League qualifying round on 13 August at 3:00 PM ET. The market currently settles at 100% YES on Polymarket, reflecting that additional betting markets or trading pairs will be available for this fixture. On-chain, this conditional token sits on Polygon as USDC-denominated contracts, meaning traders are pricing certainty that secondary markets will materialise around the match itself—whether on goal totals, corner counts, or player performance metrics.
Historical precedent suggests major European qualifying fixtures attract multiple market layers. When comparable mid-tier clubs contest Europa League qualifiers, Polymarket typically opens derivative markets within 48 hours of the primary match outcome becoming known. The 100% reading indicates traders expect Polymarket's operators to deploy conditional tokens tied to this specific fixture, a standard practice for matches involving established European federations and broadcast infrastructure.
Traders should monitor official UEFA scheduling confirmations and any fixture postponements, which would delay or cancel secondary market deployment. Shamrock Rovers' recent European campaigns have generated consistent liquidity on prediction platforms, whilst Egnatia's participation signals sufficient competitive standing to warrant multi-market coverage. The settlement window closing 13 August at 19:00 UTC allows a narrow window post-match for market resolution, so any fixture delays or rescheduling announcements would directly impact whether additional markets materialise before that deadline.
Methodology
This page reviews KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC - More … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →