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Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Poland (-1.5) 0% Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) 0% Poland (-2.5) 0% Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) 0% Volume: $175K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Poland (-1.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)0%
Poland (-2.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Poland O/U 0.50%
Poland O/U 1.50%
Poland O/U 2.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.50%
Poland 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Poland 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Poland (-3.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-3.5)0%
Poland (-4.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-4.5)0%
Poland (-5.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-5.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Poland O/U 3.50%
Poland O/U 4.50%
Poland O/U 5.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 3.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 4.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 5.50%
Poland 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Poland 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 4.50%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 3.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-25T18:45:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

We track Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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