Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

The UEFA Super Cup on 12 August 2026 will pit PSG against Aston Villa in a single-match knockout format. Polymarket currently prices this exact-score outcome at 6% (roughly 16.67:1 odds), reflecting the low probability that these two sides finish regulation at any single scoreline. The market settles only on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded, meaning any draw or victory margin becomes a distinct outcome competing against dozens of other possibilities.

Historical Super Cup matches provide useful calibration. The fixture typically attracts competitive European sides, and scorelines cluster around narrow margins: 1–0, 2–1, and 2–0 outcomes account for roughly 40% of all Super Cup finals since 2015. PSG's recent European form shows they average 1.8 goals per match in knockout competitions, whilst Aston Villa's Champions League qualification in 2024–25 signals defensive solidity. The 6% probability suggests traders view this specific scoreline as materially less likely than the modal outcomes, though the exact score remains unspecified in the market title.

Traders should monitor team news through late July and early August, particularly injury status for key attacking and defensive personnel. PSG's summer transfer activity and Villa's pre-season form will influence expected goal totals. Fixture congestion in the weeks before the Super Cup—especially if either side competes in qualifying rounds—could affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. Polymarket's conditional token structure on Polygon means positions settle in USDC immediately upon resolution, with no settlement delays typical of traditional sportsbooks.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.