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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 74% Map 2 Winner 71% Map 1 Winner 64% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) 53% Volume: $216K Liquidity: $174K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner74%
Map 2 Winner71%
Map 1 Winner64%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)53%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)49%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)46%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.540%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.540%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.535%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.534%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.534%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.530%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.530%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.529%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.527%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.526%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.526%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)24%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: 100 thieves vs fut esports (bo3) - vct champions group a stands at 74% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between 100 Thieves and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Cha… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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