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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 92% O/U 2.5 Games 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Volume: $285K Liquidity: $366K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner92%
O/U 2.5 Games91%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Match Winner52%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)8%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-7.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to valorant: furia esports vs 2game esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between FURIA Esports and 2GAME Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00PM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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