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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) 100% Volume: $405K Liquidity: $155K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-8.5) vs XLG Gaming (+8.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-9.5) vs XLG Gaming (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Winner97%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)95%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.552%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games5%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-10.5) vs XLG Gaming (+10.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and XLG Gaming in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmi…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Cha… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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